Accident proneness and driver license programs.

Author(s)
Campbell, B.J. & Levine, D.
Year
Abstract

After examining the concept of accident proneness results of accident studies are used to show the fallacy of using the percentage of drivers involved in accidents in one year to forecast the accident involvement of the same drivers in subsequent years. In an effort to find better accident predictors, a mathematical model was derived and a computer used to create hypothetical accident distributions having higher correlations. Although correlations were somewhat higher, the ability to predict accidents remained poor.

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Publication

Library number
B 9062 (In: B 9050) /83.5/ IRRD 215374
Source

In: Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Driver Behaviour, Zurich, 8-13 October, 1973, 12 p., 5 fig., 7 tab., 7 ref.

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