The objectives are to present the feasibility of utilizing the Weibull proportional hazards (PH) model and the Weibull accelerated failure time model of survival analysis to predict in situ pavement fatigue performance from laboratory fatigue test results. A set of WesTrack temperature sensitivity fatigue tests is used as an example to demonstrate how the Weibull PH model works. An example utilizing the deflection data from a heavy vehicle simulator test is given to verify the feasibility of the failure time model. The relationship between mode factor and controlled-deformation fatigue test is discussed using the same example. The Weibull theory approach has potential for use in recursive mechanistic-empirical design procedures.
Abstract