Assessing probability with multiple individuals : groups interaction versus mathematical aggregation.

Author(s)
Seaver, D.A.
Year
Abstract

Using several forms of group interaction and mathematical aggregation models, this research investigates the quality of probabilities produced by interaction versus mathematical models, and by the various forms of interaction and various mathematical models. Quality was measured by proper scoring rules, calibration, and extremeness on two types of probability assessments.

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Publication

Library number
B 16589 / 01 /
Source

Los Angeles, CA, University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute SSRI, 1978, 58 p. + app., graph., ref.; SSRI Research Report No.78-3 / NTIS AD-A073363

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