Behavioural factors as predictors of motor vehicle crashes : differentials between young urban and rural drivers.

Author(s)
Stevenson, M.R. & Palamara, P.
Year
Abstract

The objective of this research was to describe the driver and behavioural factors that predispose young drivers to crash in the first 12 months of driving and to compare whether these factors differ between young urban and rural drivers. A cohort comprising 1796 newly licensed urban and rural drivers from Western Australia were recruited and followed over the first 12 months of driving. Using Cox proportional hazard analysis, driver and behavioural factors were assessed to determine whether they predicted the likelihood of a crash. The incidence rate for a motor vehicle crash was marginally higher for urban drivers compared to rural. There was no significant difference in the time to crash between the urban and rural drivers. Two factors, namely the frequency of driving before obtaining a learner driver permit and the driver's level of risk taking were significantly associated with a motor vehicle crash in the first year of driving. Irrespective of whether the driver is licensed in a rural or urban area, high risk-taking drivers are at an elevated risk of a motor vehicle crash in the first 12 months of driving. Aspects of Graduated Driver Training and Licensing Programs (GDTLP) could be effective in targeting this at-risk group. (Author/publisher) For the covering entry of this conference, please see ITRD abstract no. E202589.

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Publication

Library number
C 27512 (In: C 27499 CD-ROM) /83 / ITRD E202602
Source

In: Road Safety Research, Policing and Education Conference, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, 2000, p. 119-124, 15 ref.

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