Car ownership and economic development with forecasts to the year 2015.

Author(s)
Medlock III, K.B. & Soligo, R.
Year
Abstract

This paper examines the effect of economic development on the demand for private motor vehicles for a panel of 28 countries. Utilising the concept of the user cost of capital and the notion that the demand for cars can become saturated, the authors develop a model of the relationship between economic development and per capita private car ownership. They find that saturation levels vary across countries, and that user costs are a significant factor in the evolution of vehicle stocks. Forecasts are generated for each of the countries in the sample, and the implications for future energy-related issues are discussed. (Author/publisher).

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Publication

Library number
I E115981 [electronic version only] /90 /10 / ITRD E115981
Source

Journal of Transport Economics and Policy. 2002 /05. 36(2) Pp163-88 (30 Refs.)

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This publication is one of our other publications, and part of our extensive collection of road safety literature, that also includes the SWOV publications.