Freight transport plays an essential role in London's life and economy. However, despite this importance, road freight movements have received far less attention in recent years than passenger travel in terms of both analysis and modelling; and this particularly applies to the analysis of the climate change impact of urban freight transport systems in an evolving policy setting. The aim of this paper, based on research implemented in the framework of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Cities Programme, is therefore two-fold: to analyse and project freight transport relatedCO2 emissions in London, and to examine the potential impact of measures to reduce these emissions in the long run. An application of the findings of both a literature review and Delphi questionnaire are used to provide projections of carbon emissions in London to 2050 with and without interventions, in order to provide policy recommendations. A profile of road freight traffic movements and carbon emissions in London was developed for the last decade. Freight vehicle kilometres have increased by 22.9% (from 1993to 2005 the full set of available data) with particular growth in the useof Light Goods Vehicles and 6 axle Heavy Goods Vehicles. Emissions from freight transport in London are estimated to have increased by 18.3% between 1993 and 2005. Simple projections suggest that emissions may increase by30% from 2005 to 2025 and by 85% by 2050 in the absence of further policyinterventions. A review of available studies analysing freight movements and policy impact in an urban setting was undertaken and revealed a limited evidence base on the impacts on carbon emissions of particular measures.In order to gain a greater understanding of both the drivers of trends infreight emissions in London and the potential of a range of measures to reduce emissions a Delphi survey was developed. A set of initiatives to be examined includes: promotion of e-commerce and shopping, consolidation centres, collection delivery points, vehicle reception points, loading bay provision, information and communication technologies, higher capacity vehicles, alternative fuels and propulsion technologies, national and local pricing policies, eco driving or SAFED, regulatory restrictions on vehicle movements or types of vehicle, collaborative systems and the Freight Operator Recognition Scheme developed by Transport for London. Consideration willalso be given to the best ways of encouraging take-up of specific initiatives within the wider context of urban sustainable transport policies. Forthe covering abstract see ITRD E145999
Abstract