For the use of cybernetical models to describe and predict driver behaviour quantitatively a proposal is made for a supervisory control model based on the well-known optimal control model. In the model some elements are distinguished which suit well with the ideas from experimental psychology. An extension to the model is given by introducing elements related to future values of the lead variables, like the course of the road, to permit a description of driver anticipation in specific tasks. A proposal is given for an experimental validation of this model by hypothesising effects of experimental variables (time over which future values are observable, task accuracy, driving experience, etc) on specific elements of the model structure. (Author/publisher)
Abstract