Total carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions per unit of added value, as well as transport-related emissions, vary enormously between economic sectors. Therefore, not only the overall level of economic growth has an effect on emission levels, but also the sectoral composition of that growth. An overall economic growth of 3% is assumed in this study. The study compares emission levels of a scenario in which the `favourable' sectors experience 5% growth and the 'unfavourable' sectors 1% growth to those of a scenario in which the `favourable' sectors experience 1% growth and the `unfavourable' sectors 5% growth. CO2 emissions for the most "unfavourable" and most "favourable" scenarios were +10% and -10% respectively, of C02 emissions for 3% overall growth. Similarly, NOx emissions were +17% and -17%, respectively, of those for 3% overall growth. (A)
Abstract