Road safety in 2020; Mobility, crashes, and policy outlooks. The longer-term road safety targets for the Netherlands are stated in the Ministry of Transport's Mobility Paper. Since this was written, the maximum number of road deaths for 2010 has been reduced from 900 to 750. For 2020 the Mobility Paper sets the target at a maximum of 580. The Ministry of Transport also aims to reduce this road deaths target for 2020 to a maximum of 500. The respective numbers for in-patients are 17,000 for 2010 and 12,250 for 2020. To formulate realistic and ambitious targets it is necessary to have insight in the long-term road safety developments. Such insight is also necessary to be able to signal in time if the policy needs to be adjusted and if new measures are necessary. That is why SWOV has developed this long-term outlook. It has two main objectives: 1) to judge the feasibility of the policy targets, i.e. the maximum number of fatalities and in-patients in 2010 and 2020, by following the current policy; and 2) to estimate the effects in 2020 of new measures.
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