The authors report on the multi-year process of developing the CaliforniaPECAS statewide integrated land use/transportation model and the preliminary results of a sensitivity test. In the Trend 2030 Scenario, the model allocated economic activities and developed floorspace in a plausible pattern, when viewed statewide or regionally. In the High Fuel Cost Scenario,a more-compact development pattern was found. The authors conclude that the initial demonstration model performed reasonably well. The chief problems encountered are discussed and future work is outlined.
Abstract