A diversion model for estimating high-speed rail usage. Paper presented at the 50th Annual Meeting of the Highway Research Board HRB, 1971.

Author(s)
DiRenzo, J.F. & L.R. Rossi
Year
Abstract

A diversion model is presented that estimates high-speed rail passenger use. It is applicable to the identification of corridors that would be likely to support such service and to the determination of whether previously proposed high-speed rail service offers sufficient potential to justify conducting detailed feasibility studies. The potential market for high-speed rail service is estimated first by stratifying intercity trips on each non-rail mode by termination point (cbd or non-cbd), by trip purpose (business or non-business), and by group size for automobile trips. The characteristics of the resulting market segments are then analyzed by using travel time and cost data for high-speed rail and each competing mode to determine whether each market segment is completely divertible, possibly divertible, or non-divertible to high-speed rail service. The diversion model provided satisfactory results in a concept study of high-speed rail service in 3 travel corridors within New York state. This technique is simple to understand and apply; it does not have to be calibrated in the traditional manner, and it can be applied by using available travel data. /author/

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Publication

Library number
A 7094 IRRD 201553
Source

Albany, New York State Department of Transportation, 1970, VII + 19 p., ref. / Also published in: Highway Research Record HRR, No. 369, p. 15-25, 8 ref.

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