Estimation procedures for structural time series models.

Author(s)
Harvey, A.C. & Peters, S.
Year
Abstract

A univariate structural time series model based on the traditional decomposition into trend, seasonal and irregular components is defined. A number of methods of computing maxmimum likelihood estimators are then considered. These include direct maximization of various time domain likelihood function. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are given and a comparison between the various methods in terms of computational efficiency and accuracy is made. The methods are then extended to models with explanatory variables. (A)

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Publication

Library number
971344 ST [electronic version only]
Source

Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 9 (1990), p. 89-108, 43 ref.

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