In British Columbia, many highways are located in mountainous terrain and the costs of highway construction in these areas are high. One method of controlling construction costs is narrow medians but the safety consequences of using narrow medians were never determined. Recent research on safety in geometric design has focused on establishing quantitative relationships between collisions and cross sectional elements using collision prediction models (CMPs) and collision modification factors (CMFs). In some situations, such as the use of narrow medians, it is difficult to find CMPs and CMFs that adequately describe the design scenario. In other instances, it is difficult to measure the safety in terms of collision reduction because of a lack of data or difficulty isolating the impact of a single design element on collision frequency. In these situations, reliability analysis can be used to evaluate the risk associated with a particular design feature. In this paper, reliability analysis was completed on a series of horizontal curves with varying horizontal sight distance restrictions and the probability of being unable to stop within the available sight distance was calculated. For the covering abstract of this conference see ITRD number E211426.
Abstract