Exploring the time-saving bias : how drivers misestimate time saved when increasing speed.

Author(s)
Peer, E.
Year
Abstract

According to the time-saving bias, drivers underestimate the time saved when increasing from a low speed and overestimate the time saved when increasing from a relatively high speed. Previous research used a specific type of task – drivers were asked to estimate time saved when increasing speed and to give a numeric response – to show this. The present research conducted two studies with multiple questions to show that the time-saving bias occurs in other tasks. Study 1 found that drivers committed the time-saving bias when asked to estimate (a) the time saved when increasing speed or (b) the distance that can be completed at a given time when increasing speed or (c) the speed required to complete a given distance in decreasing times. Study 2 showed no major differences in estimations of time saved compared to estimations of the remaining journey time and also between responses given on a numeric scale versus a visual analog scale. Study 3 tested two possible explanations for the time-saving bias: a Proportion heuristic and a Differences heuristic. Some evidence was found for use of the latter. (Author/publisher)

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Publication

Library number
20111898 ST [electronic version only]
Source

Judgment and Decision Making, Vol. 5 (2010), No. 7 (December), p. 477-488, 12 ref.

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This publication is one of our other publications, and part of our extensive collection of road safety literature, that also includes the SWOV publications.