FORECASTING TRAFFIC SAFETY IMPACTS: INFRASTRUCTURE REDESIGN vs DRIVING ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS.

Author(s)
Lu, M. & Wevers, K.
Year
Abstract

The paper investigates the use of a first-order and one-variable grey model, GM, to model and forecast the trend of the reduction of traffic accident severity through strategic scenarios, concerning application of driving assistance systems and physical infrastructure redesign. Based on modelling the limited available data of the effects of the infrastructure redesign programme in the Netherlands (during 1998-2002), forecast the trend of fatalities and hospitalisations for the years 2003 until 2010 was forecasted. By using cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) the result is compared with other scenarios, i.e. to implement driving assistance system by market-pull and policy-push. For the covering abstract see ITRD E134653.

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Publication

Library number
C 45420 (In: C 40997 CD-ROM) /81 /82 / ITRD E135524
Source

In: Proceedings of the 13th World Congress and Exhibition on Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) and Services, London, United Kingdom, 8-12 October 2006, 11 p., 19 ref.

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This publication is one of our other publications, and part of our extensive collection of road safety literature, that also includes the SWOV publications.