Travel is largely a derived demand which occurs due to a desire to participate in activities in different locations or to shift goods to a different location. Any projections or forecasts of future travel rely upon implicit or explicit assumptions about spatial projections of what activities will take place where. In this paper they are referred to as land use. This paper firstly discusses a number of methods of producing future land uses and the situation in which their use is appropriate. Particular attention is paid to land use / transport models as these have not been widely applied in New Zealand. It then discusses Statistics New Zealand’s future population projections at a Regional Council level and uses these to review where land use/ transport models might be appropriate in New Zealand. (Author/publisher) For the covering entry of this conference, please see ITRD abstract no. E213656.
Abstract