Hindsight /foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgement under uncertainty.

Author(s)
Fischhoff, B.
Year
Abstract

Hindsight and foresight differ formally in the information available to the observer. The hindsightful judge possesses outcome knowledge, that is he knows how things turned out. The foresightful judge does not. Although foresight usually implies looking at the future, in the absence of outcome knowledge, post and future events can be equally inscrutable.

Request publication

5 + 7 =
Solve this simple math problem and enter the result. E.g. for 1+3, enter 4.

Publication

Library number
B 26167 fo /01 /83.2 /
Source

From: Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1 (1975) No. 3, p. 288-299, 4 tab., 16 ref.

Our collection

This publication is one of our other publications, and part of our extensive collection of road safety literature, that also includes the SWOV publications.