A large increase in fuel prices and decreasing incomes occured in The Netherlands between 1978 - 1982. Also a curve deflection especially in the behaviour of car drivers was observed. The aim of this paper is to trace and quantify the influence of the variables that showed an impact on the observed changes in travel behaviour. For this purpose data from the Netherlands National Travel Survey for the period 1978 - 1982 was used. The relationships found were used to define a forecast model which made possible forecasts of car ownership and travel performance based on anticipated economic development trends.
Abstract