Initial experiments with the cross impact matrix method of forecasting.

Author(s)
Gordon, T.J. & Hayward, H.
Year
Abstract

Forecasting systems, such as the Delphi method, based on the collation of expert judgment, suffer from the possibility that reactions between forecasted items may not be fully considered. This new forecasting technique however seeks to find the conditional probability of an event given that various other events have or have not occurred.

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Publication

Library number
B 3975 fo /01/81.1/
Source

Los Angeles, University of California, 1968, 15 p., tab., ref.

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