Internal combustion engine business, environment and resources gamble : the ICEBERG Scenario.

Author(s)
Dessus, B. Martinez, N. & Columbier, M. [Colombier, M. staat in tekst auteurs]
Year
Abstract

Some consequences are discussed of the expected future real economic growth of developing countries, in terms of increasing road traffic, consumption of petroleum products, and the environment. Possible critical factors, affecting the outcome, could include the road systems' capacity for integration into the development of societies, and the development of the internal combustion engine industry. In forming a development scenario for the transport of road passenger and freight transport for the years 2020 and 2060, the authors used the population growth forecasts, energy development scenarios, and trends and hypotheses for the energy traffic intensities of road transport, vehicles per head, head, and car mobility. They present detailed tables of projected statistics for 1988, 2020 and 2060, for various parts of the world, for: (1) road traffic intensity; (2) road freight fuel consumption; (3) car stock; and (4) car fuel consumption. For their development scenario and for their reference scenario, they project figures for the total global fuel consumption of road traffic, and equivalent global emissions of carbon dioxide.

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Publication

Library number
C 7868 (In: C 7865 S) /15 /72 /96 / IRRD 886887
Source

In: Towards clean transport : fuel-efficient and clean motor vehicles : proceedings of the conference organised by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD and the International Energy Agency IEA, Mexico City, 28-30 March 1994, p. 145-152

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This publication is one of our other publications, and part of our extensive collection of road safety literature, that also includes the SWOV publications.