The author shows, using data from Indian cities, that the number of vehicles in cities could increase along an S-shaped pattern with population. Such a pattern of growth can lead to a number of problems as (1) Indian has several small but growing towns that will witness a rapid growth in the number of vehicles as they grow, and (2) the vehicular increase in India has so far been dominated by personalised modes that are not energy-efficient and environmentally benign. The implications of such growth and some strategies for overcoming the problem are briefly discussed in this paper. (A)
Abstract