This study has several purposes and goals, which are: a) to determine if Blood Alcohol Concentration (BAC) measured at arrest could, along with other driving history and demographic factors, contribute significantly to the prediction of driving under the influence (DUI) recidivism; b) to statistically identify measurable factors predicting DUI recidivism which could be used in determining appropriate judicial and administrative sanctions and countermeasures for DUI offenders; c) to statistically identify DUI convictees at high risk recidivate, relative to DUI convictees as a whole and relative to the rate of DUI convictions among the general driving population. DUI convictees have often been viewed as a basically homogeneous group. The identification of subgroups based on the probability of recidivism would change that view. The predicted probability of recidivism for a DUI convictee also provides an index of safety risk, since recidivists are known to have elevated accident risk levels. (Author/publisher)
Abstract