Strategic road safety programmes setting out long-term visions and road infrastructure development plans must be based on road safety forecasts and an understanding of the longterm impact of different measures on road safety. The objective of this paper is to discuss a concept of road safety management for an area of a selected country because there are no simple tools of road safety management for the development and implementation of national and regional road safety strategies. The paper will present a method for estimating fatalities and road fatality rate in relation to the most significant sources of hazard. To estimate the number of fatalities a multiple factor model was used which is the quotient of the population of a country as a measure of risk exposure and the road fatality rate as the measure of the probability of road accident consequences. To implement the proposed method a general procedure was developed for estimating fatalities for a specific area. The paper will present a proposed risk classification as the key to risk evaluation and a method for determining the potential for reducing societal risk and indicate those countries which have the highest potential for road death reduction. (Author/publisher)
Abstract