The ASSESS study is about the “Assessment of the contribution of the TEN and other transport policy measures to the mid-term implementation of the White Paper on the European Transport Policy for 2010”. The European Commission’s White Paper of 12.9.2001 “European transport policy for 2010: time to decide” aims to promote a sustainable transport policy. The White Paper proposes to achieve sustainability by gradually breaking the link between transport growth and economic growth, principally in three ways: changing the modal split in the long term, clearing infrastructure bottlenecks and placing safety and quality at the heart of the transport policy. As foreseen, the White Paper on Transport undergoes in 2005 an overall assessment concerning the implementation of the measures it advocates and to check whether its targets - for example, on modal split or road safety - and objectives are being attained or whether adjustments are needed. ASSESS provides technical support to the Commission services for the above mid-term assessment of the White Paper. The analysis accounts for the economic, social and environmental consequences of the proposed measures and their contribution to sustainable development objectives. It provides also a detailed analysis of those effects of enlargement likely to affect the structure and performance of the EU transport system. The study takes a three pillar approach based on the use of analysis, indicators and models. National transport policies are reviewed for compatibility and coherence with the White Paper objectives. The models used allow a detailed analysis of the freight market, the passenger market and their infrastructure networks under a number of scenarios. This annex is about the CGEurope model that is applied in ASSESS project evaluates the effect of the White Paper measures that have an impact on transport costs and flows in values. The use of this model is necessary in order to compute the effect of complex policies on the welfare of interconnected European regions. For years 2010 and 2020 the effect of implementation of three scenarios (the partial implementation of the White Paper, the full implementation, and the extended scenario) is calculated. The results are interpreted as real income changes in comparison to null or ‘do nothing’ reference scenario. The model is dependent on the interregional transport cost data by SCENES. The input information that is derived from SCENES costs and flows data is total transport costs aggregated across commodities by NUTS-2 region pair. The latest SCENES model run available by the time of CGEurope model runs was run 2 from August, 9. (Author/publisher)
Samenvatting