Assessing probability with multiple individuals : groups interaction versus mathematical aggregation.

Auteur(s)
Seaver, D.A.
Jaar
Samenvatting

Using several forms of group interaction and mathematical aggregation models, this research investigates the quality of probabilities produced by interaction versus mathematical models, and by the various forms of interaction and various mathematical models. Quality was measured by proper scoring rules, calibration, and extremeness on two types of probability assessments.

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Publicatie

Bibliotheeknummer
B 16589 / 01 /
Uitgave

Los Angeles, CA, University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute SSRI, 1978, 58 p. + app., graph., ref.; SSRI Research Report No.78-3 / NTIS AD-A073363

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