Under the present regime of transportation policy the growth of the economy is closely linked to the growth of goods transport. An analysis is given of the trend development of the modal split. In a forecast for the West German Ministry of Transport the effects of liberalisation on the market shares have been quantified for a situation without opening the borders to the East. Then the future market share of the railways in West and East Germany is pointed out, after opening the borders to the East and starting a process for integrating the GDR into the market system of the FRG. Furthermore, attention is paid to air pollution and to recent recommendations for monetary evaluation of environmental impacts of road transport in the FRG, and to road pricing.
Samenvatting