The Thames Gateway South Essex area will accommodate 43,000 new homes by 2021 and 55,000 new jobs. As one in seven trips made in 2021 will be a new trip arising from one of these new houses or jobs, this scale of development offers the opportunity to make a step change away from the current transport pattern to something that better serves the objectives for the region. This paper describes how the Thames Gateway South Essex Land Use Transport Interaction Model has been specified and developed such that it can provide a forecast as to how land use and transport use will change based on land use allocation policies, transport investment choices and the prevailing economic conditions. It discusses how this model has been used to examine a series of high level transport strategies for the region, and inform stakeholders the effects of their choices on their regeneration and growth objectives. Work has examined the economic success of a strategy to improve connectivity to London and compared this to a strategy geared to alleviating internal congestion and providing better linkage between the resident population and its jobs. Other tests have evaluated the extent to which the development of good public transport linkage, demand management and road user charging affects inward investment in terms of scale and location. From these tests a shortlist of strategies has been developed against which resilience testing was conducted; does a strategy that provides the best economic growth and regeneration during periods of national growth still offer the best strategy should London and the rest of the UK suffer economic downturn? For the covering abstract see ITRD E137145.
Samenvatting