Estimating the probability of rear-end crashes from a behavioral cellular-based traffic model.

Auteur(s)
Muchuruza, V. Moses, R. & Thuo, G.
Jaar
Samenvatting

In efforts to establish simulation tools that simulate and evaluate the safety of highways and other transportation facilities cellular-based traffic models was improved. The proposed improvements incorporated parameters that affect driver risk-taking and attentiveness behaviors. The likelihoodof vehicles to crash in the model was assessed by examining time-to-collision and the rates of vehicles¦ decelerations applied to avoid imminent collisions. Simulation results indicated driver behavior has significant impact on the safety of highways. Further, the results revealed a high probability of vehicle crashes in the synchronized traffic flow phase. The implication of these results is for safety engineers to move towards a proactive¦approach of predicting vehicular conflicts so as to institute correctivemeasures through micro-simulations as early as in planning and design stages of transportation projects. (Author/publisher).

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Publicatie

Bibliotheeknummer
I E146988 /80 /83 / ITRD E146988
Uitgave

Advances in Transportation Studies. 2010. No. 21 Pp63-72 (23 Refs.)

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