Forecasting telecommunication and travel interactions using a microscopic model : a case analysis of Seoul, Korea.

Auteur(s)
Zumkeller, D. & Lee, S.
Jaar
Samenvatting

This paper deals with an empirical experiment based on the concept of activity modelling aiming at identifying the impact of telecommunication on mobility in the information society. The first step was to classify individuals who will follow similar behaviour patterns in terms of telecommunication and mobility into different person groups. The results of the analysis on the ability of each person group to adapt themselves to the rapid changes in the information society show that full-time housekeepers and senior citizens are highly likely to be alienated. The next step was to calculate transition probabilities to teleservice per each activity carried out by each person group. The findings tell us that transition probability is high for banks or reservations where simple forms of information such as data or text are exchanged and is low for more complicated activities including sights or sounds. Finally the concept of an individual behavioural model is presented.

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Publicatie

Bibliotheeknummer
C 13507 (In: C 13302 CD-ROM) /72 / IRRD 491223
Uitgave

In: Mobility for everybody : proceedings of the fourth world congress on Intelligent Transport Systems ITS, Berlin, 21-24 October 1997, Paper No. 2392, 10 p. 5 ref.

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