Growth scenarios and corresponding emissions for the transport of goods by truck and train in Europe.

Two socio-economic scenarios are constructed to show the economic development trends in the 12 EEC countries plus Switzerland until the year 2010. These scenarios are the background for future growth of goods transport, where a policy shift with regard to road transport is also being simulated. In combination with different emission abatement policies in the two scenarios, the contribution of the policy changes assumed in scenario 1 becomes clearly visible.