In this paper results are presented from a range of detailed analyses with the National Transport Model (NMS) on different transport policies for the new strategic transport policy, the National Traffic and Transport Plan 2001-2020 NTTP. The analyses aim to establish the potential future impact of several NTTP policy options. The reference scenario shows for 2020, a further increase of car mobility by 45%. The use of trains will increase by 20%. The number of vehicle hours in congestion increases by over 150% as compared with 1995; the time loss per vehicle kilometre increases by approximately 80%. Subsequently, for the forecast year 2020, there is a range of policy options that supplement the reference situation. It concerns then: Construction infrastructure, Utilisation, Kilometre levy (variabilisation of car taxes), Congestion Pricing, Pay Lane Improving public transport and a balanced mix of these policy options (the NTTP-mix). The new transport policy is strongly based on the "user pays" principle. The analyses show how the combination of capacity increase and better use of existing capacity combined with pricing can cope with the estimated increase of travel demand.
Samenvatting