E Safety is a joint industry-public sector initiative aiming to reduce the number of accidents by using new intelligent vehicle safety systems and related infrastructure utilising ICT. The e Safety Forum is a joint platform of the road safety stakeholders promoting the implementation of the e Safety action plan. The Forum has created several Working Groups focusing on priority topics in the action plan. One of these is the Implementation Road Map Working Group (WG), which started its work in July 2003 and produced its final report two years later. The Implementation Road Map WG was given the task of investigating how to promote the roll-out and deployment of vehicle- and infrastructure-based as well as co-operative systems in order to contribute to the overall goals of reducing road accident fatalities by 50% systems by 2010. The inclusion of both vehicle- and infrastructure-based systems caused special problems as there are the strong differences between both actors involved and the timelines for development and financial issues. Also the decision processes are quiet different and especially problematic for truly co-operative systems. Hence, the WG involved actors from wide range of domains and especially from the car manufacturers and road authorities. The work started with data collection about the e Safety systems, and continued with an assessment of them in a common framework. The work was carried out by different WG members compiling the information needed. The information on road infrastructure developments and vehicle fleet age distributions were collected from the Telematics Subgroup of the Conference of European Directors of Road (CEDR). The potential safety effects of the systems were estimated based on research as well as expert assessments using German accident statistics and the European CARE accident data base. In order to calculate the actual impacts of the systems in 2010 and 2020, the forecasted market penetrations of new cars in 2005, 2010 and 2020 were used together with vehicle fleet age distributions from EU countries to estimate the penetration of systems in the whole vehicle fleets. The assessment resulted in the identification of eleven priority vehicle-based and infrastructure-related e Safety systems. Next it was discussed how to promote the deployment rate of these systems in future. There are also feasible differences between vehicle-based systems and more infrastructure / or mixed systems within the business case. Different incentives are likely to enhance the customer awareness for e Safety features. For each priority system, two market penetration forecasts were estimated, one based on "business as usual" conditions and the other based on incentives and other measures to promote the deployment of the system. After that, the penetration was estimated for the whole vehicle fleet in 2005, 2010 and 2020 and the safety impact of the system was estimated. For the covering abstract see ITRD E137489.
Samenvatting