Accurate prediction of travel times of buses has many applications in the field of Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS). It can be used for providing public transport passengers with reliable information concerning the arrival times of the vehicles in the service. It can also be used for fleet management purposes to improve the quality of the service and for traffic management purposes to provide priority for buses at traffic lights. This paper describes the derivation and results of implementing several schemes for forecasting future arrival times of the Sydney Airport Express buses, based on positioning data collected from the ANTSS (Automatic Network Travel Time System). This work is part of a project for evaluating and improving the operation of this service.
Samenvatting