In this paper, a mode choice model developed for nj transit and the port authority of new york and new jersey to assist in the evaluation of proposals for increasing the capacity and use of the existing hudson river crossing connecting manhattan and northern new jersey is described. The model focuses on the choices of a.M. Peak periodeastbound commuters. It allocates demand across seven primary modes, including automobile, bus, two park-and-ride modes (automobile to bus and automobile to path), and three rail modes (commuter rail to penn station, commuter rail with transfer to path, and local access to path). The emerging trans-hudson crisis that provided the impetusfor the model development effort, the planning program of which it was a part, the data sources used in the effort, the specification of the model, the procedures used to estimate the model coefficients, the statistical results of the model estimation, and the model's forecasting performance are also discussed. This paper appeared in transportation research record no. 1139, Urban travel forecasting. For covering abstract see IRRD no 817822.
Samenvatting