In March 2000, the Government announced a new set of casualty reduction targets for the year 2010 for Great Britain. A key element in the preparation of the new target was to forecast the number of casualties in 2010, taking account of any factors that might influence this number substantially. This report provides an account of progress up to 2004 and describes the casualty trends and what they suggest for the likelihood of achieving each of the targets. It updates the original analyses with data from 1999-2004 to re-assess the conclusions that were drawn about future casualty trends, and summarises the results of other investigations that have been carried out. The key target is for the number of people killed or seriously injured (KSI), with no separate target for the number killed. The number of deaths had tended to rise between 1998 and 2003, however, but fell by 8% in 2004. The changes in 2004 are analysed in detail to see whether they are likely to signify a change in trend. (Author/publisher)
Samenvatting