The new version of HDM-4 highway development and management package needs traffic volumes of different types of vehicles (motorised and non-motorised). The HDM-4 uses an arithmetic growth rate to estimate traffic volume, which is suitable for short-term planning only and may be inconsistent with cost benefit analysis applied in the system. For the above reasons, a traffic count based model could be the most suitable model. On the other hand, traffic count based models are often criticised because of a lack of behavioural basis and policy insensitivity, so that it is possible to produce demand model that is inconsistent with the planning purpose. This paper introduces a structured traffic count based model that combines multicriteria analysis and the nested logit model. The combination could give a behavioural interpretation to the model and increase its policy sensitivity, produce a model that is consistent with the planning process and, most importantly, is capable of forecasting classified traffic. (Author/publisher) For the covering entry of this conference, please see ITRD abstract no. E210528.
Samenvatting