Prediction of driving record following driver improvement contacts.

The post-contact driving records of 13.594 male negligent operators (NOs) were predicted using three data sources: prior driving record, NOs questionnaire responses, and interview information supplied by Driver Improvement Analysts (DIA's). Equations predicting postcontact accidents and convictions were constructed based on stepwise, multiple regression analysis using half of the sample. Most DIA's were able to predict convictions to a limited degree. The results concerning DIA prediction were not cross-validated.