PRIME (Prediction of Congestion and Incidents In Real Time, For Intelligent Incident Management and Emergency Traffic Management') : estimation of incident probability.

The European Union (EU)-project `Prediction of Congestion and Incidents In Real Time, For Intelligent Incident Management and Emergency Traffic Management' (PRIME) builds on recent achievements in the management of incidents and road emergencies. Innovations in the project aim at including methods for estimating real-time incident probabilities, improved systems for incident detection and verification, and integration of motorway and non-motorway incident management strategies. This paper describes the development of a model for real-time Estimation of Incident Probability (EIP).