Residential location choice : the influence of migration and commuting distance. An important part of integrated land-use and transport models is the modelling of subsystems like the transport system, the real estate market and the location choice behaviour of households and firms. This paper is about modelling the residential choice behaviour of households and in particular the influence of transport on this. A first attempt is made to incorporate personal attributes and relations in a discrete choice model for residential choice. Firstly the separate influence of migration and commuting distance is determined by estimating three distance decay functions for both relations. It turns out that a negative power function gives the best fit. However, from the statistical migration figures it is shown that migration and commuting distance work simultaneous when deciding where to settle. This simultaneous influence is estimated through a multinomial logit model. The results of these estimations show that when using a negative power, the influence of migration distance on residential location choice is almost twice as strong as the commuting distance. Also it turns out that an increase in migration distance of 1% reduces the chance of an alternative to be chosen with almost 2%. (Author/publisher)
Samenvatting