This report describes a SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research study. The study was commissioned: (1) to give a general opinion on the "GAMBIT" project contents; and (2) to express an expectation about the future traffic safety development in Poland. The SWOV contribution has been realized within the framework of a 'Memorandum of Understanding' for bilateral co-operation in the road transport field between the Dutch and the Polish Ministries of Transport. The "GAMBIT" project is a national, comprehensive road safety improvement project in Poland. The SWOV has made three quantitative prognoses about the traffic safety development in Poland. These are as follows: (i) The optimistic scenario is one of steep risk reduction and moderate traffic growth; (ii) The scenario of an enormous traffic growth and moderate risk reduction is the pessimistic one; and (iii) the third scenario is in between. The report gives a short consideration on a traffic safety plan. This was used as a basis to investigate the organizational structure of the "GAMBIT" project. The SWOV is convinced that the chosen procedure including the proposed procedure has the potential to produce a programme that really will improve the traffic safety in Poland. The report also describes a road safety information system for Poland.
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