The successor to the Dutch Second Transport Structure Plan from 1989 is the National Traffic and Transport Plan (NVVP). This plan contains the new road safety policy to be implemented 2010, including the continuation of the 'sustainably safe' concept in a second phase. The objective of the plan is to meet the targets formulated in 1986: 50% fewer fatalities and 40% fewer injuries requiring hospital admission by 2010. Using 1998 as the year of reference, this target will mean reducing the number of fatalities by more than 300 and the number of injuries requiring hospital admission by 4600. This study investigated whether the targets can be met by means of the measures contemplated in the NVVP and what these measures will cost. The SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research has kept the 'sustainably safe' approach in mind for elaborating the various measures. Four categories of measures can be distinguished: (1) infrastructure; (2) influencing behaviour; (3) vehicles; and (4) intelligent transport systems (ITS). In this report, Sectional Reports 1 and 2 are summarized. In addition, the results of the study are considered and discussed and conclusions are made. Based on the results of the effectiveness of the measures listed in the NVVP, it is expected that there is a good chance the target for 2010 will be met. Nevertheless, the results are surrounded by uncertainty because certain assumptions had to be accepted while making the calculations. For abstracts of the two sectional reports see ITRD E203695 and E203696 respectively.
Samenvatting